Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa8b3e06f8b5efc7b453a2ca0061c7bb158206dbf272e9fb4b0583e6d6a978a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 0c | 31,202$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…a19abacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 21c | 24,566$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 14c | 9,567$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.72 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…64e5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 4c | 4,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Madison Keys | 79c | 3,911$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.14 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 15c | 2,470$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Madison Keys | 80c | 1,923$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.51 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 21c | 1,396$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.12 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Keys | 79c | 1,395$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 2c | 1,194$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Madison Keys | 80c | 1,010$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 21c | 939.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 5c | 605$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 19c | 589.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Madison Keys | 79c | 449.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 20c | 384.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 21c | 374.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Madison Keys | 79c | 269$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 23c | 261.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 21c | 260.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 17c | 219.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Madison Keys | 79c | 184$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 22c | 173.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 20c | 171.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Madison Keys | 79c | 164.2$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 134.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Madison Keys | 80c | 101.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Madison Keys | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 20c | 99.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 19c | 95.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 20c | 92.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 92.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Madison Keys | 79c | 84.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Madison Keys | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 19c | 78.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 16c | 74.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 19c | 70.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Madison Keys | 79c | 66.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Madison Keys | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Madison Keys | 79c | 44.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Madison Keys | 80c | 42.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Madison Keys | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Madison Keys | 79c | 34.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Madison Keys | 79c | 33.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Madison Keys | 79c | 25.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 22.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Madison Keys | 78c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…4d91backed Madison Keys | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…6e3fbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9799…486bbacked Madison Keys | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 14.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Madison Keys | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Madison Keys | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Madison Keys | 79c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…88eabacked Madison Keys | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Madison Keysthis page
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Keys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.