WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x324c2dde09ae1d1b25c816a466e631a229b51c9ecbb625f0ea589b1a8c997033
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 34,027$18,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,820.24 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 47c | 7,180$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.26 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed PortlandFire | 46c | 6,244$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed PortlandFire | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 3,478$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed PortlandFire | 45c | 2,827$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.15 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 46c | 2,079$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.52 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,984$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.1 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked PortlandFire | 46c | 1,962$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 1,942$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.22 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 1,942$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 1,813$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…524dbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,372$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed PortlandFire | 52c | 1,189$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 1,091$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed PortlandFire | 45c | 1,056$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.26 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed PortlandFire | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed PortlandFire | 45c | 970.61$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.07 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed PortlandFire | 46c | 761.41$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed PortlandFire | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed PortlandFire | 46c | 483.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed PortlandFire | 53c | 469.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.15 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed PortlandFire | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed PortlandFire | 45c | 269.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed PortlandFire | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 48c | 174.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed PortlandFire | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed PortlandFire | 46c | 145.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PortlandFire | 47c | 140.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 128.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed PortlandFire | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 51c | 90.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 90.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PortlandFire | 47c | 75.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed PortlandFire | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed PortlandFire | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed PortlandFire | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 40.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 39.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed PortlandFire | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked PortlandFire | 45c | 28.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed PortlandFire | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed PortlandFire | 45c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.