WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe25b99582c86849afac08e22b231150e21c3d91bd0f6a99d0581f0ba667fd14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof PortlandFire, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked PortlandFire | 0c | 65,882$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 0c | 10,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked PortlandFire | 7c | 7,797$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.86 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 34c | 4,075$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 3,978$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.21 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 72c | 3,429$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.81 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky | 77c | 3,346$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.81 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Chicago Sky | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire | 21c | 2,720$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.42 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 22c | 2,123$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.65 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed PortlandFire | 32c | 1,894$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.93 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 21c | 1,814$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 1,584$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed PortlandFire | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Sky | 77c | 1,296$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.62 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago Sky | 80c | 1,215$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire | 21c | 1,045$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire | 25c | 968.12$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.93 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed PortlandFire | 25c | 837.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked PortlandFire | 33c | 837.82$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Sky | 75c | 810$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked PortlandFire | 17c | 799.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed PortlandFire | 27c | 732$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire | 16c | 681.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Chicago Sky | 76c | 646.76$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed PortlandFire | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 464$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked PortlandFire | 24c | 416.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked PortlandFire | 24c | 400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky | 74c | 391.03$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed PortlandFire | 22c | 379.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked PortlandFire | 16c | 356.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 318.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky | 71c | 316$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PortlandFire | 21c | 295.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed PortlandFire | 26c | 284.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked PortlandFire | 28c | 277.12$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire | 25c | 267.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PortlandFire | 29c | 252$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8a…9c2fbacked PortlandFire | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Chicago Sky | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed PortlandFire | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky | 76c | 247.58$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed PortlandFire | 32c | 208$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Chicago Sky | 79c | 202.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked Chicago Sky | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire | 25c | 190.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 175.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PortlandFire | 25c | 175$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire | 27c | 169$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…c309backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 166.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire | 20c | 158.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked PortlandFire | 17c | 157.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed PortlandFire | 36c | 156.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed PortlandFire | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 152.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed PortlandFire | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 24c | 144.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 133.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PortlandFire | 12c | 127.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Chicago Sky | 79c | 122.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Chicago Sky | 76c | 120.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 23c | 115.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed PortlandFire | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire | 18c | 104$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed PortlandFire | 19c | 100.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed PortlandFire | 23c | 98.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed PortlandFire | 20c | 91.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed PortlandFire | 33c | 90.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…042ebacked Chicago Sky | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 85.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 75c | 78.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago Sky | 65c | 77.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 73.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Chicago Sky | 67c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Sky | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed PortlandFire | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Chicago Sky | 74c | 54.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked PortlandFire | 25c | 51.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed PortlandFire | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…664bbacked Chicago Sky | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 35c | 45.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Chicago Sky | 67c | 43.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Chicago Sky | 64c | 43.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Chicago Sky | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Chicago Sky | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked PortlandFire | 36c | 39.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked PortlandFire | 40c | 38.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Chicago Sky | 78c | 38.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PortlandFire | 35c | 34.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked Chicago Sky | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Skythis page
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.