TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof PortlandFire, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ec6…d9edbacked PortlandFire0c65,882$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.889318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire0c10,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.444915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked PortlandFire7c7,797$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8610340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9927449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire34c4,075$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.4840550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky65c3,978$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.2136154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky72c3,429$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.8178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Sky77c3,346$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8174942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Chicago Sky68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.188762.1%54 W · 33 L-0.4wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire21c2,720$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4236750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire22c2,123$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.651,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed PortlandFire32c1,894$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9312144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire21c1,814$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.681,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Sky65c1,584$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.415048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed PortlandFire1c1,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Sky77c1,296$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6219458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Chicago Sky80c1,215$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6412165.3%79 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed PortlandFire21c1,045$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.734726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire25c968.12$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9313844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed PortlandFire25c837.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4620340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked PortlandFire33c837.82$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.482817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Chicago Sky75c810$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4521446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked PortlandFire17c799.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed PortlandFire27c732$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.964027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PortlandFire16c681.19$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2789349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Chicago Sky76c646.76$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.222850%14 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed PortlandFire16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked PortlandFire33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Chicago Sky65c464$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.85855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked PortlandFire24c416.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.913531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked PortlandFire24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky74c391.03$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8538645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed PortlandFire22c379.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked PortlandFire16c356.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Chicago Sky63c318.7$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.042040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Sky71c316$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6431043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked PortlandFire21c295.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.718746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed PortlandFire26c284.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked PortlandFire28c277.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5411351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire25c267.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0331448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked PortlandFire29c252$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3930649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8a…9c2fbacked PortlandFire4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Chicago Sky67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…97c5backed PortlandFire16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chicago Sky76c247.58$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8461042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed PortlandFire32c208$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5612751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Chicago Sky79c202.76$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.764269%29 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Chicago Sky62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed Chicago Sky67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-67.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed PortlandFire25c190.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7425246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky67c175.87$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0432743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed PortlandFire25c175$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4836454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire27c169$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8623955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd981…c309backed Chicago Sky65c166.66$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked PortlandFire20c158.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4234753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked PortlandFire17c157.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5910634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed PortlandFire36c156.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8917143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed PortlandFire32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Chicago Sky65c152.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.315766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed PortlandFire35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire24c144.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5430347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked PortlandFire36c133.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked PortlandFire12c127.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6941147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Chicago Sky79c122.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Chicago Sky76c120.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5113358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire23c115.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6650646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed PortlandFire36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked PortlandFire18c104$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5719031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed PortlandFire19c100.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.813143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed PortlandFire23c98.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.399146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed PortlandFire20c91.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.666934.8%24 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed PortlandFire33c90.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…042ebacked Chicago Sky68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Chicago Sky65c85.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.994052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky75c78.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago Sky65c77.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.021050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Chicago Sky65c73.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Chicago Sky67c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.431136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Sky72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed PortlandFire21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.729938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed PortlandFire33c57.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Chicago Sky74c54.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.197062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked PortlandFire25c51.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7920642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed PortlandFire27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.517350.3%87 W · 86 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky73c48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1237650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b9…664bbacked Chicago Sky65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire35c45.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Chicago Sky67c43.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.438850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Chicago Sky64c43.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6914148.9%69 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Chicago Sky67c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.193231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Chicago Sky67c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Chicago Sky67c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.191030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-53.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Chicago Sky63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.917646.1%35 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5332049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked PortlandFire36c39.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.284548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked PortlandFire40c38.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.369146.2%42 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Chicago Sky78c38.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.487964.6%51 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed PortlandFire35c34.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161547%289 W · 326 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848f…9cdabacked Chicago Sky64c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick50cpaid+72.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.