TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes48c149,999$72,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,139.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No58c17,931$10,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,474.132,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c15,795$8,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,670.3918743.9%82 W · 105 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c15,009$7,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,198.425,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No51c10,966$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,373.344443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No52c9,307$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.235844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c9,265$5,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.267,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c8,859$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.122,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c8,778$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,301.2646044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c6,393$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.9187745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c6,174$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.142,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Yes50c5,465$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c5,052$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.2591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40085250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4507261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c4,000$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,91077350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c3,743$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.7716953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No51c2,672$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.18650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c2,576$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.42,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20012564%80 W · 45 L+13.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes49c2,052$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.642552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96013265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94011952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.786660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No53c1,919$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.161,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No53c1,568$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.966861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No52c1,485$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No52c1,451$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7732436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No52c986$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.2826853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No75c971.89$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.141866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes13c866.69$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6710541%43 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Yes49c833.71$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes39c825.73$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7892043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c712$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.51,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c712$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.51,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28211254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes49c559.31$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.061,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No59c557.73$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.675869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No51c548.3$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.671838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2455560%33 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e6d…2544backed No51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffdf…97f8backed No51c433.66$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes22c425.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1888160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No51c392.08$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.161258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No52c333.25$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2812664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes11c314.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.271,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210435.6%37 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No51c217.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.692055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes26c216.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5637049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9414050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Yes42c175$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No57c168.55$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2924466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No53c156$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.326360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No51c144.4$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.148050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No53c141.16$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.882,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No52c134$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1629754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No51c128$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.725545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes16c123.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.262,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c112.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5198653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c109$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.661,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.845646.4%26 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.776669.7%46 W · 20 L+10.8wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No52c105.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1335163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked No53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No52c96.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1418343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No65c93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.532350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No51c87.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No64c83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8838147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No52c78.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6118756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked No51c65.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.93464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No52c50.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.463154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No51c40.03$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4214561.4%89 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.27659.2%45 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No74c39.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.379555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No73c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.133853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f1…c7a1backed Yes50c36.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No52c34.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.614553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No53c34.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.041376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.