Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55be4f836d95acbe89c45f938f66e0249dc9a3ad48882a9134d073e023298e1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 24c | 8,170$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.61 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 7,584$5,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.8 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 27c | 5,699$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.07 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 5,329$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.22 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 26c | 3,975$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.05 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 42c | 2,734$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.48 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 1,415$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.83 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0693…9679backed No | 40c | 1,359$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed No | 53c | 1,153$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,126$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 45c | 1,002$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.94 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 56c | 653.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 575.84$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 46c | 561.56$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 57c | 502$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.33 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 71c | 467.38$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 33c | 459.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked No | 44c | 433.09$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 24c | 427.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.87 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 390.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 29c | 384.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…2775backed No | 76c | 381.58$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 313.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 63c | 278.75$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 25c | 211.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 38c | 190.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…15c6backed No | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 54c | 177$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 45c | 146.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed No | 43c | 125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 31c | 119.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 47c | 106.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 45c | 87.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 71c | 86.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 71c | 84.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 54c | 72.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 71.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 22c | 64.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 49.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Yes | 25c | 40.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 51c | 40.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 75c | 37.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 52c | 36.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 35.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 65c | 35.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +330.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…35a6backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 66c | 25.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 70c | 25.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 23.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 68c | 21.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 73c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 14.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.