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Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$553,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed Yes47c269,999$126,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,514.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ba…da22backed No53c100,000$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,999.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes47c94,949$44,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,626.0320557.1%117 W · 88 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes47c81,426$38,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,270.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7f…6f49backed No53c66,404$35,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,209.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c58,886$31,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,675.711,21832.2%392 W · 826 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No53c32,761$17,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,382.8621852.3%114 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c24,928$13,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,591.464,89241.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L+25.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No59c22,598$13,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,180.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c55…4a8cbacked Yes48c18,500$8,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,932.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-76.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No54c17,018$9,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.111855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No53c12,084$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.482744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c10,888$5,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,031.058550.6%43 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No53c10,445$5,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.166550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed No55c9,977$5,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,483.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c9,941$5,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,605.456,22545.6%2,836 W · 3,389 L-34.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No56c9,633$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,238.526650%33 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c9,262$4,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.522,61347.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L+42.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes38c9,111$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.32050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No57c8,267$4,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.539457.4%54 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.774055%22 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6008347%39 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No53c6,600$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10218045.6%82 W · 98 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No53c5,928$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.1613247%62 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No57c5,300$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked No53c4,540$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes43c4,326$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.217749.4%38 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No53c4,053$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.0725743.6%112 W · 145 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No52c3,342$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.125862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c2,997$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.7374950.7%380 W · 369 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c2,933$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32085952.7%453 W · 406 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No53c2,294$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.185846.6%27 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No53c2,280$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c2,140$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.265744.6%293 W · 364 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Yes48c2,067$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.3825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c1,874$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.881,17657.4%675 W · 501 L+40.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c1,858$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.0465447.4%310 W · 344 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No53c1,800$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85516046.3%74 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No53c1,734$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.471,02836.2%372 W · 656 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes44c1,623$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.7822847.8%109 W · 119 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No52c1,478$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No54c1,172$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.342835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No53c1,025$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.711267%75 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c954.97$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.560147.8%287 W · 314 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No54c818.6$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1536951.2%189 W · 180 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No52c752.68$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.587957%45 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No50c742.09$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7368932.9%227 W · 462 L-32.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No52c713$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7122537.8%85 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No54c599.98$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.991560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c597.42$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.581,82134.6%630 W · 1,191 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked No52c551.7$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No61c540.28$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.711747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No56c502$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked No53c479.5$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c474.96$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.011,32842.4%563 W · 765 L-29.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed No52c470.7$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4c…5695backed Yes39c460$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No52c430.85$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.811441.2%47 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c425.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.991,38348.3%668 W · 715 L-3.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No53c404.63$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.184560%27 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1443…9e05backed No53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c395$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7686748.7%422 W · 445 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No53c384.31$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.633551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes12c358.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c322.01$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.791,71352.8%905 W · 808 L+31.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dea…774cbacked Yes48c297.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…1ba2backed Yes71c263.33$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked No57c259.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.761752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No39c255.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8977241.6%321 W · 451 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No52c239.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.513060%18 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked No54c230$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.82755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No50c205.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.564438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes47c204.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.136439.1%25 W · 39 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes44c202$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No58c198$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.161947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…d7dcbacked Yes56c195.06$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed No53c193$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Yes44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No52c182.81$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6917648.9%86 W · 90 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No53c176.3$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.276830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No57c175.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd4…b60fbacked No52c175$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No52c163.3$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.925846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed No75c160.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.454379.1%34 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No53c156$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3210558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a98…ef19backed No33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed No53c148.66$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.862626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2106…4c18backed Yes38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed No58c138.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No52c136.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c135.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0159950.4%302 W · 297 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.623053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.