Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd8c011bd0691c314a10755d9ffc38ff3b7dc78b5f97730eaa41157713b09eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,043$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 4,892 | 41.5%2,028 W · 2,864 L | +25.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 1,360$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 1,040$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 496.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 414.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 601 | 47.8%287 W · 314 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 22c | 213.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 689 | 32.9%227 W · 462 L | -32.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 75c | 200.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Yes | 27c | 190.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…5695backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 22c | 149.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 141.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,713 | 52.8%905 W · 808 L | +31.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 106$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 76.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,028 | 36.2%372 W · 656 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Yes | 34c | 49.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…84d0backed No | 76c | 46.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…c176backed No | 76c | 46.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 73c | 40.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…d9fcbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x637e…9917backed No | 76c | 32.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 79c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.