Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c70191fc7ad6f85dc9581cd2fc0347fff0783eb1be45490ca6dcd6609445201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 18c | 37,234$6,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,736.43 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 16,668$3,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 19c | 10,528$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.94 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 19c | 10,010$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.88 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 7,889$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.76 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 4,552$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.61 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 19c | 4,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 51c | 572.1$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 17c | 568.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 560$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 18c | 397$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 363.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 19c | 362.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 314.31$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 33c | 299.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 19c | 245$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Over | 20c | 243.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 226.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 19c | 209.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 19c | 203.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 76c | 192.17$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 19c | 174.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 166$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 20c | 162.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 19c | 149.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 48c | 144.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 134.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 120.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 110.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 50c | 99.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Under | 52c | 96.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Under | 52c | 96.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Under | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 52c | 95.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 51c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 49c | 82.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 66c | 74.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Under | 50c | 70.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 18c | 64.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 56c | 60.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under | 50c | 60.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 59.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 19c | 56.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 44.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 62c | 34.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…2645backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Under | 61c | 22.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.