Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5e28197a1474dfcc067eee686b16aa0403f664535374767937292476c2dcec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 44c | 2,276$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,159$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,070$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.69 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 1,206$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.45 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 57c | 909$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.87 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 55c | 666$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 428.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 264.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 48c | 244.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 59c | 191.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 182$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 179.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 168.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 142.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 50c | 109.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 51c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 51c | 29.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 51c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 22.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.