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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes48c166,042$80,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,905.512934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ae…66f3backed No51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed No52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No52c18,812$9,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,817.882,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…d0f7backed Yes52c15,105$7,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,251.434100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+113.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No50c12,231$6,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,115.56336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c11,243$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,940.253,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No50c8,015$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.56031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No56c7,989$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.5733442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No51c6,110$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.5625248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c5,837$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.361,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Yes50c5,798$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No52c5,705$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,960.9777248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No52c4,807$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.7972550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c4,655$2,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.241,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No48c4,223$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.834643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cef…fe2dbacked No54c4,156$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04016047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No18c3,888$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7518037.8%68 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c3,636$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.277755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No50c3,136$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c3,064$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.281,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc532…3b9dbacked No54c2,934$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed Yes51c2,753$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No48c2,400$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.7838431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.992962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes56c1,992$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.258870.5%62 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No51c1,971$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.4414358%83 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes40c1,878$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.241,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No12c1,744$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.629738.1%37 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No7c1,735$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.426442.2%27 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c1,656$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.263249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No51c1,648$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.486456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No51c1,641$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.699959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c1,634$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.442,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes53c1,564$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.6493341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No51c1,551$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.7722644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9e…8f17backed No51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c1,330$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3114434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed No51c1,266$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No53c1,200$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63021648.6%105 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes31c1,176$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.482,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd721…a97bbacked No49c1,175$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked No1c1,164$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-84%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed No54c1,160$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed No45c999.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c925$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.547244.9%212 W · 260 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes17c915.67$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.1565943.9%289 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8788…d82abacked No53c911.4$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed No52c884$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No46c840$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.45030%15 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c630.26$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.311,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc708…a968backed No49c621.03$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ffe…ffe4backed No16c505.25$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25512351.2%63 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.77560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No48c425.52$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes31c409.54$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0238855.4%215 W · 173 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c72…0946backed No54c401.36$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No52c399.69$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.841330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9618…77e6backed No18c368.87$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.42839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked No54c363.13$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.091435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c318.44$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.141,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c317.29$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3414749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No7c306.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.954431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes74c302.81$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.423240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.46875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No18c285.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…08edbacked No57c269.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.893154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No49c256.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.710638.7%41 W · 65 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No50c252.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.789550.5%48 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No53c240.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7349555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes34c207.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.172437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No51c206.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.391,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes45c200.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.65156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked No51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc057…4d23backed Yes9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1821827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83f6…9ac8backed No54c195.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes42c184.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2814240.8%58 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No17c183.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1522237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c176.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6576356.1%428 W · 335 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No49c163.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806056.7%34 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x294f…eeabbacked Yes53c160.61$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.942850%14 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No51c156.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9915243.4%66 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No9c146$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.142630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No51c137.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9915544.5%69 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No48c135$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4611335.4%40 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Yes26c126.92$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+128.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.27557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c110.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4120440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x313d…c692backed Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes54c107.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.372055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes45c107.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.