Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78528dfd26ec7d9e4fb32cc140a90c478cf8c644330bc4c88a97d6a661bb243c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 11,091$8,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.36 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 7,231$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.92 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 3,970$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.84 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 2,995$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.06 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 1c | 2,714$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 2,505$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.91 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,815$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.27 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 29c | 1,653$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.21 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 31c | 1,605$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.15 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,424$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.95 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 26c | 1,318$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 31c | 999$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.69 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 951.49$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 6c | 918.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 44c | 859.26$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.79 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 818.9$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 70c | 799$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 784.61$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 753.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 629.36$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 617.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 586.72$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed Yes | 55c | 454.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 414.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 27c | 400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 70c | 399.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 27c | 393.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.27 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 26c | 385.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 378$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 69c | 377$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 16c | 372.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 29c | 334$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 69c | 288.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 261.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…2db1backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 54c | 240.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 16c | 237.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 32c | 229.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 200.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…a7debacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…bce2backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…2f1abacked Yes | 11c | 195.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 28c | 186.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 341 | 42.8%146 W · 195 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 175.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 45c | 172$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 31c | 134.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 124.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 15c | 115.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 70c | 95.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 95.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 62c | 95.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 24c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 84.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 74c | 80.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 69.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…e616backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 46c | 38.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 33.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 58c | 30.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 24.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.