Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29e36c29c61d2664ec7502820c9382642a998b28abb903dfbf335cd488fd456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 8,264$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.26 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,028$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.18 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 56c | 1,975$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.79 | 933 | 41.4%386 W · 547 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,830$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Yes | 24c | 1,381$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,275$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.94 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes | 27c | 1,115$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 31c | 978.75$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.65 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 73c | 973.88$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 18c | 694.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 632.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 24c | 631.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 575.83$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 28c | 449.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 420.67$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed Yes | 19c | 408.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 399.69$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 384.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 341.1$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 1,041 | 48%500 W · 541 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 15c | 312.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 24c | 251$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 226.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 71c | 199$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 60 | 80%48 W · 12 L | +13.7wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 76c | 193.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 72c | 191.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 155.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 120.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 115.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 26c | 106.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…2db1backed Yes | 36c | 99.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 24c | 81.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 470 | 36%169 W · 301 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…7b76backed Yes | 18c | 59.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 29c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 39.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 39.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd57…4c90backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 41c | 26.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…062cbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 19.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FC Twente end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.