Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c36bcb56dc293da4fd71877b3cf70a760240ce6420469833b7507adc7021f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilves Tampereof HNK Rijeka, Ilves Tampere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ilves Tampere | 40c | 3,809$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.99 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed HNK Rijeka | 58c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HNK Rijeka | 59c | 1,930$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.7 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ilves Tampere | 44c | 1,809$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.22 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ilves Tampere | 41c | 1,434$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.05 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked HNK Rijeka | 61c | 1,340$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.78 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed HNK Rijeka | 56c | 1,170$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.5 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Ilves Tampere | 42c | 720.57$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Ilves Tampere | 48c | 599.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.53 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HNK Rijeka | 53c | 557.29$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.07 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Ilves Tampere | 41c | 478$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.02 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked HNK Rijeka | 54c | 303.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed HNK Rijeka | 60c | 248.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked HNK Rijeka | 58c | 241.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Ilves Tampere | 46c | 237.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ilves Tampere | 44c | 161.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Ilves Tampere | 46c | 154.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked HNK Rijeka | 58c | 138.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed HNK Rijeka | 42c | 135.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Ilves Tampere | 46c | 134.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HNK Rijeka | 61c | 134.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…f104backed Ilves Tampere | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed HNK Rijeka | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed HNK Rijeka | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed HNK Rijeka | 53c | 98.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ilves Tampere | 42c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed HNK Rijeka | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed HNK Rijeka | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ilves Tampere | 45c | 48.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed HNK Rijeka | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed HNK Rijeka | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ilves Tampere | 37c | 35.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Ilves Tampere | 48c | 28.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Ilves Tampere | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Ilves Tampere | 47c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed HNK Rijeka | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed HNK Rijeka | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ilves Tampere | 44c | 23.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HNK Rijeka | 54c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed HNK Rijeka | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed HNK Rijeka | 54c | 19.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked HNK Rijeka | 62c | 19.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed HNK Rijeka | 60c | 16.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-1.5)this page
- HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: Ilves Tampere O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: Ilves Tampere O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 1.5Under won
- HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 2.5Under won
- HNK Rijeka vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: HNK Rijeka (-2.5)Ilves Tampere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.