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La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$483,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked No49c154,241$75,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,405.533641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed No49c52,623$25,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,837.861729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes52c48,077$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes51c44,978$22,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,939.521,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes36c33,907$12,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,309.7967839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c32,999$18,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,476.914,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes50c24,826$12,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,436.9651048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No63c24,636$15,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,091.6217451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes38c19,324$7,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,401.983,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes41c16,880$6,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.2392443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes50c15,038$7,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5196338.1%24 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes51c12,737$6,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,495.8710339.8%41 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No55c10,714$5,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.693030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes51c9,912$5,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,054.186051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes51c7,697$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.491323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Yes40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No60c7,209$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes50c5,635$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.363542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No70c5,232$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.631,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes1c4,703$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.061637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No55c3,988$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.1724259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No50c3,672$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83611539.1%45 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No55c3,541$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.472334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5302835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Yes40c2,736$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.222378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c51…1fc1backed No56c2,675$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes51c2,664$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.5574350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes51c2,544$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.2574949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes52c2,452$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2753046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes49c2,451$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.641,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No78c2,414$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.3314353.8%77 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes51c2,393$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.4680950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes41c2,373$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.8948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No55c2,222$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No48c2,114$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.289729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed No51c2,016$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04018458.2%107 W · 77 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02052152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No50c1,960$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c1,926$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.542,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes46c1,796$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82322644.7%101 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes51c1,726$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.2614539.3%57 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes51c1,646$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.593336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes38c1,518$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.117841.6%74 W · 104 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc8…c678backed No48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes35c1,431$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x546b…1582backed Yes51c1,373$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes51c1,308$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…d22bbacked Yes37c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No48c1,227$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8111656%65 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes34c1,205$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.84951%25 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61228447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes49c1,150$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.497163.4%45 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes51c1,131$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8886250.2%433 W · 429 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No57c1,009$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.1918661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes39c1,003$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.1818839.9%75 W · 113 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010661.3%65 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…732ebacked Yes39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes51c959.13$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.162944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes40c941.52$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4211037.3%41 W · 69 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No65c927.27$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.388046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes51c900.57$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2947749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes52c885$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.1120942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Yes18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504450%22 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c816.71$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.4933531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c816.63$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9156538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Yes51c774.9$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes51c763.17$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.8772455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes50c750$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked No54c724.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.491957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes28c651.22$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.56911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-78.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes51c612.24$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.241540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Yes51c606.45$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.344744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151520%3 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ac…a82bbacked Yes51c480.84$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes39c467$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes40c422.38$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.153545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes51c399.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No62c390.32$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.321080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Yes29c356.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.44323.3%10 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes50c345$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.532945.6%150 W · 179 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No78c333.58$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.724854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027344.3%121 W · 152 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.