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La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c33,033$16,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,073.34,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes29c15,000$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,65018050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c12,938$9,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,090.911355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes56c10,953$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,791.081,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No36c9,245$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.0667839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a4…856ebacked No60c7,012$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,207.240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No4c4,072$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8822842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c3,117$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.792443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1814353.8%77 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No11c2,936$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7417451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No29c2,847$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.7448338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c2,777$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.4353249.4%263 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No70c2,750$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.792642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c2,481$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.153,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c2,158$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.9572455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No43c2,094$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.254951%25 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No3c1,840$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2616732.9%55 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No67c1,831$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.093773%27 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed No65c1,730$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.451540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes29c1,397$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.063132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes31c1,296$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.249747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c1,281$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.9780950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No61c1,250$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No60c1,200$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-78.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0e6…584bbacked No3c1,040$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No72c999.98$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9922022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c859.51$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.951,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No72c681.4$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7119847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes53c628$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5518661.3%114 W · 72 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c627.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0674949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c582.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.1824639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No73c510.96$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3731450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No72c507.85$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023655.5%131 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed No29c498.47$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No10c483.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.532635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked No73c415.61$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.43557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed No73c415.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.391747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes53c411.34$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4530759%181 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No69c387.37$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.284323.3%10 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3bf6…f90ebacked No47c376$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5da2…73a1backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c333.97$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.86051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219933.3%3 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No72c285.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.918046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes27c262.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.96825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No35c234.49$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3161048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No74c232.58$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.11785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes28c225.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4133531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Yes70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No65c206$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7218839.9%75 W · 113 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No72c204.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.393455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed No72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c181.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2356538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0817…de6fbacked No54c173.78$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No66c172$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6714043.6%61 W · 79 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbee…d267backed No73c167$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes53c160.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.291,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No60c154.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes28c150$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No58c149.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9946024.1%111 W · 349 L-52.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes52c140.9$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No16c127.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0611351.3%58 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes68c118.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5123857.1%136 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No32c105.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9762154.4%338 W · 283 L+28.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No63c104.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.411845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes69c101.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9219039.5%75 W · 115 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7515943.4%69 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No50c99.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3711037.3%41 W · 69 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Yes28c90$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No30c76.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.924420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-66.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c75.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1986250.2%433 W · 429 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No72c70.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.661952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes72c66.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.963056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb31…fe71backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a2…a3a9backed Yes68c62.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.033100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+557.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb83b…dedfbacked No73c61.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.615244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.419740.6%80 W · 117 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed No25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes39c57.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.316561.5%40 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes75c54.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6612854.7%70 W · 58 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010956.9%62 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9207…d26ebacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.547749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…590bbacked Yes39c48.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No24c45.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.756939.1%27 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0087…c38bbacked Yes27c44.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No72c41.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7812846.1%59 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes27c39.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No60c36.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7512562.4%78 W · 47 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked No72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes63c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No71c33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.432564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.