Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf72bf239481739b9ed54f7ef0545e58bee7556affdcbeca005438e710255b45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC St. Gallenof FC Nordsjælland, FC St. Gallen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Nordsjælland | 46c | 63,899$29,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,496.19 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC St. Gallen | 54c | 19,273$10,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816.45 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC St. Gallen | 55c | 16,020$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.77 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC St. Gallen | 58c | 10,508$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC St. Gallen | 53c | 6,500$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FC St. Gallen | 54c | 6,000$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.98 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC St. Gallen | 53c | 5,443$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.31 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 5,303$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.75 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Nordsjælland | 41c | 5,060$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 5,000$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 4,545$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.2 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed FC Nordsjælland | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.91 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC St. Gallen | 53c | 2,849$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.47 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Nordsjælland | 45c | 2,722$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.48 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC St. Gallen | 55c | 2,697$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.33 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked FC Nordsjælland | 45c | 1,672$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.78 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed FC Nordsjælland | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 1,203$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.49 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked FC Nordsjælland | 46c | 1,192$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC St. Gallen | 55c | 1,176$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.16 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC St. Gallen | 55c | 1,167$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC St. Gallen | 55c | 907.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC St. Gallen | 55c | 656.52$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed FC Nordsjælland | 47c | 636$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked FC Nordsjælland | 45c | 612.61$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked FC St. Gallen | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FC St. Gallen | 59c | 389.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked FC Nordsjælland | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed FC St. Gallen | 58c | 170$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FC St. Gallen | 62c | 137.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC St. Gallen | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed FC Nordsjælland | 47c | 127.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 125.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FC St. Gallen | 61c | 121.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC St. Gallen | 62c | 116.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed FC Nordsjælland | 45c | 111.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FC St. Gallen | 56c | 108.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed FC St. Gallen | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC St. Gallen | 58c | 98.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…9457backed FC Nordsjælland | 59c | 82.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FC Nordsjælland | 35c | 82.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC St. Gallen | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…4b88backed FC Nordsjælland | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked FC St. Gallen | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FC Nordsjælland | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed FC St. Gallen | 54c | 55.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed FC Nordsjælland | 27c | 55.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FC Nordsjælland | 21c | 53.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed FC Nordsjælland | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed FC St. Gallen | 55c | 46.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed FC Nordsjælland | 34c | 45.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FC Nordsjælland | 45c | 45.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed FC St. Gallen | 40c | 41.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked FC Nordsjælland | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC St. Gallen | 66c | 39.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed FC St. Gallen | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed FC Nordsjælland | 37c | 33.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FC St. Gallen | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FC St. Gallen | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed FC St. Gallen | 55c | 29.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked FC St. Gallen | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked FC St. Gallen | 54c | 26.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed FC Nordsjælland | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed FC St. Gallen | 65c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)this page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-2.5)FC Nordsjælland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.