Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee17420d029dfff3118f6d3269d399bdf3b162c1169fbbc95739d5eb1275df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 767.7$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.19 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 562.25$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 358$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.19 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 304$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Yes | 34c | 210.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 37c | 165.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 150.27$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 141$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 112.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 35c | 111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 45c | 48.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…fbc8backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 34c | 39.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 20.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: FC Nordsjælland O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: FC St. Gallen O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Nordsjælland vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-1.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)FC St. Gallen won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)FC Nordsjælland won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-2.5)FC Nordsjælland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.