TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed Under57c6,548$3,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Under58c6,531$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over42c6,416$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.571637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c4,305$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.572,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Over38c2,957$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.742147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Over28c2,950$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c2,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.42,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under68c1,461$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.242491.7%22 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick71cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under64c1,397$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.717967.1%53 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c1,377$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.142,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over29c1,329$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.3687745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over42c1,176$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7332436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over3c813.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-69%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under73c686.23$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.282853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Over43c617$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.311154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over38c523.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1995048%24 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over30c519.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.757,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over40c509.84$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8423346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over38c402.2$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.534139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over38c392.08$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over40c299.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12127246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under70c278.74$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.622483.3%20 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick75cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under79c251.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.215172.5%37 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Over43c205$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8428…a5fbbacked Under58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Over38c171.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over32c164.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.441,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under56c150.01$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666144.3%27 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+74.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over32c143.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.424531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7f…d002backed Over43c130.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over42c118.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6311837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Over41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Over41c95.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over12c88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5943721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c85.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.131,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over27c82.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.381376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+50.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c75.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.722,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c71.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.882,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c70.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.342,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205149%25 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Under58c51.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2429754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over22c45.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c8…5301backed Under66c42.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbace…34d6backed Under57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21650%8 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.124466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cde…f493backed Over43c37.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under55c36.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6227360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over45c36.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6246044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0520550.7%104 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over41c34.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under55c30.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7517460.3%105 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over43c27.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under67c22.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.534178%32 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under67c18.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2135163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.