Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12e97cf8c7ccc1dcea64ff8150b10a14ad880bc4727b0292b3bedbed114b499
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 8,565$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 47c | 6,226$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.47 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,928$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.67 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 5,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 2c | 4,519$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 3,948$2,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.34 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 3,828$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,829$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed No | 30c | 2,076$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 70c | 1,900$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 27c | 1,087$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 71c | 559.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 6c | 558.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 476.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.28 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 63c | 448.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 24c | 425.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 272.45$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 22c | 244$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 27c | 239.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 10c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 58c | 187.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 31c | 163.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 63c | 155.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 63c | 152.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked No | 28c | 138.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Yes | 75c | 133.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 15c | 112.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…787dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 59c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 32c | 92.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 56c | 85.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 31c | 83.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 30c | 74.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 71.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 61.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked No | 71c | 60.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 75c | 58.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 32c | 56.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…c5b1backed No | 71c | 50.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 49.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 74c | 41.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 71c | 41.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 71c | 37.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 30c | 35.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 32c | 35.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 32c | 32.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 50c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 68c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…9cccbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07?No won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.