Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45804be3adffb734cc3f0d9bbf245b03a27820f193311d62f0a36a9afc174be7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 5,104$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 33c | 3,035$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,605$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…145dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,691$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc73…d984backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 16c | 1,459$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 14c | 1,295$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 10c | 1,039$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 976.29$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 78c | 881.09$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 798.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 33c | 767$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 357.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 297.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 250.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 67c | 181.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 159.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 150.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 129.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 26c | 120.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 120.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Yes | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 99.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 68c | 77.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 19c | 66.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 58.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 32c | 40.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 32c | 35.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 67c | 30.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…8868backed No | 73c | 23.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed No | 69c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 67c | 15.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-07?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.