Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38eba1fd3cf20833e9b50f37f12bdda743f7fd404831828f180ab289524223a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.99 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 67c | 1,704$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 1,499$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.45 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 1,067$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 941.09$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 264.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 230$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 171.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 143.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 37c | 138.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 94.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 33c | 44.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 49c | 36.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Under | 72c | 21.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…9578backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Kilmarnock FC won
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-2.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.