Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56d9c09bb02f9d5f3e8ff4c9b97079ce242608e8313727cda17de0f2de112127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 747.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 410.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 304.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 301.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 10c | 167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 34c | 154.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 65c | 152.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 69.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 34c | 59.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 64c | 54.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 35c | 47.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Over | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)Kilmarnock FC won
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)Celtic FC won
- Spread: Kilmarnock FC (-2.5)Celtic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.