MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a26389f9888c507876c33a6b60ccf3395b06811a50e7ba4491addcee5609082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Washington Nationals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 63c | 6,788$4,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.27 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 60c | 5,211$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.24 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 5,129$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.31 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 2,520$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.55 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,103$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.93 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,782$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 1,747$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,649$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.96 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,536$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.96 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,467$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.51 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed New York Mets | 39c | 1,189$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked New York Mets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 860$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 77c | 801.28$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.49 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 786$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 654.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.32 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 549.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.49 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 545$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 53c | 519$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.63 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 36c | 489.48$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.14 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed New York Mets | 63c | 471.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 454.5$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Washington Nationals | 30c | 446.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.52 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 445$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed New York Mets | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 335.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 329.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked New York Mets | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 60c | 321.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed New York Mets | 52c | 297.81$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 272.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 259$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 250.59$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 231.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 215$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed New York Mets | 71c | 211.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 207.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 197.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked New York Mets | 44c | 194$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 188$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 179.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 176.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets | 63c | 164.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed New York Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked New York Mets | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 42c | 158.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 153.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 151.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 149$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 144.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 36c | 143.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 35c | 132.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked New York Mets | 71c | 132$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…acf3backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Mets | 74c | 105.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…c435backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 101.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed New York Mets | 69c | 99.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 98.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed New York Mets | 74c | 97.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 95.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 62c | 93.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 92.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 91.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 88.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 324 | 34.6%112 W · 212 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked New York Mets | 57c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 82.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 82.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed New York Mets | 61c | 81.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…bafebacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 81.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked New York Mets | 59c | 79.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 76.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 76.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 69c | 76.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 66c | 73.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed New York Mets | 77c | 73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 542 | 55.9%303 W · 239 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Mets | 71c | 68.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…c837backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 62.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…8730backed New York Mets | 72c | 60.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked New York Mets | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Washington Nationals | 23c | 59.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.