Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d69c338f383e3128c6ee218c1d1a3669842cd8d213e1374be5514f6284b9c1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Landaluce | 47c | 3,700$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cerundolo | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Landaluce | 42c | 1,725$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.58 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cerundolo | 56c | 1,569$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Landaluce | 47c | 1,118$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.81 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 54c | 972$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cerundolo | 60c | 848.51$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.4 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cerundolo | 55c | 368.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Landaluce | 45c | 354.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Landaluce | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Landaluce | 72c | 193.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cerundolo | 52c | 183.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Cerundolo | 47c | 173.37$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Cerundolo | 69c | 143.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Cerundolo | 60c | 139.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…b271backed Landaluce | 40c | 139.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cerundolo | 47c | 81.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Cerundolo | 43c | 69.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Cerundolo | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Landaluce | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Cerundolo | 60c | 55.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cerundolo | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Cerundolo | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Landaluce | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Landaluce | 41c | 39.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Cerundolo | 63c | 36.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cerundolo | 58c | 34.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Landaluce | 47c | 30.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Cerundolo | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cerundolo | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Landalucethis page
- Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Martin Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Martin Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceJuan Manuel Cerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Landaluce won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Landaluce (+2.5)Landaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.