Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf2e149fd57ded8a700827ac66c3e28e94cf4595dc3b1a63429d91b6d08acb2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Landaluceof Cerundolo, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Landaluce | 55c | 8,687$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.16 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cerundolo | 45c | 6,182$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.15 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Landaluce | 56c | 3,529$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.57 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cerundolo | 44c | 2,695$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.94 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 478 | 42.5%203 W · 275 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cerundolo | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 436 | 43.8%191 W · 245 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo | 44c | 656.1$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Cerundolo | 44c | 424.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Landaluce | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Cerundolo | 44c | 349.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Landaluce | 56c | 304.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Landaluce | 56c | 222.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Cerundolo | 45c | 179.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cerundolo | 43c | 139.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Cerundolo | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Cerundolo | 45c | 102.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…57a4backed Landaluce | 57c | 77.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cerundolo | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Landaluce | 57c | 43.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Landaluce | 64c | 30.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…e119backed Cerundolo | 49c | 28.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Landaluce | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Cerundolo | 45c | 22.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Martin Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Martin Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceJuan Manuel Cerundolo won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs LandaluceCerundolo won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Landaluce (+2.5)Landaluce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.