South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611a78cb603959538c23cf289febecea1d9e371f4d5cb3c75696dd721dca0244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 4,892$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 1,165$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.54 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 801.52$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Over | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 26c | 576$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 32c | 400$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 48c | 355.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Over | 17c | 176.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Under | 15c | 149.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Under | 15c | 148.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 146.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 12c | 139.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 138.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 120.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Under | 50c | 101.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Under | 78c | 68.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 22c | 68.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 59.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 50.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 50c | 32.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 30.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 24.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…0502backed Under | 53c | 20.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 69c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.