South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1bde1e95b7fee75822e7e11b3bc8a0285f44f4923a00b4dba3dfda5e930424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 54c | 5,405$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.44 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 1,276$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.29 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 805.34$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 760.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 746.53$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.87 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 28c | 713$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.27 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 30c | 299.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 76c | 280.15$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 47c | 136.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 134.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 122.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 49c | 85.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 50.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 48.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 52c | 38.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 47c | 29.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 51c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 59c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
- Spread: Club Olimpia (-1.5)Club Olimpia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.