TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1f3…b370

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 61 out of 100; worst Valorant at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.1
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$36.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.87
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+141%+$141
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$385.71
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$187.39
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$433.13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.58
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$51.76
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$69.85
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+84.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$622.48
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.19
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+368.6%+$67.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.14
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$55.78
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+64%+$115.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.45
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$194.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$26.81
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$240.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$122.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$16.74
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$65
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$83.61
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.32
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$284.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.