TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE31c68,600$21,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,233.175,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Gentle Mates70c25,000$17,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.7277052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Gentle Mates69c16,050$11,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,029.8313345.1%60 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE31c7,115$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.492,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Gentle Mates69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.9972046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Gentle Mates68c5,820$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.3385358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe913…d360backed KOLESIE21c5,162$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.392035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34af…3bbfbacked KOLESIE19c5,085$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.992630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Gentle Mates69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Gentle Mates55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9744551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Gentle Mates67c4,961$3,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.6614051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates69c4,132$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.8667951.4%349 W · 330 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Gentle Mates69c4,000$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25534559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed Gentle Mates70c2,425$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.474055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates77c2,409$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.586,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed KOLESIE31c2,388$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.0850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed KOLESIE12c2,350$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.3312627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates74c2,321$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.635,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates73c2,220$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.251252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed KOLESIE31c2,190$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4922049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked KOLESIE33c1,993$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.892,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed KOLESIE31c1,940$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.112,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Gentle Mates80c1,864$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.713357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked KOLESIE28c1,809$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-59.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE35c1,772$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.582,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Gentle Mates69c1,734$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.6349251%251 W · 241 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed KOLESIE19c1,562$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.055044%22 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed KOLESIE30c1,526$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45755232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Gentle Mates69c1,455$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.981,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6952…40d8backed KOLESIE19c1,384$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.082227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Gentle Mates77c1,362$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4320745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed KOLESIE31c1,118$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.662860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed KOLESIE1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed KOLESIE32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked KOLESIE31c887.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.2817340.5%70 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Gentle Mates69c866.98$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1813760.6%83 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Gentle Mates68c855$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.61540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Gentle Mates71c819.7$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7114052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Gentle Mates80c813.36$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6721146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates73c743.11$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.732,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE30c699.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.995,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed KOLESIE45c696.2$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2957641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed KOLESIE31c672.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3637855.3%209 W · 169 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE5c664.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.382,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Gentle Mates71c541.3$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.986350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Gentle Mates69c539.35$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.217445.4%79 W · 95 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Gentle Mates70c538.57$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.571,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gentle Mates69c534.86$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Gentle Mates68c520.37$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9977351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Gentle Mates68c517.53$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6115349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE8c516.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.583,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed KOLESIE25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed KOLESIE25c477.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4178043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19bd…ae36backed KOLESIE11c466.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ac…5f97backed KOLESIE46c454.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.25666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked KOLESIE19c452.68$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7816355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Gentle Mates69c450$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.527156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Gentle Mates71c449.58$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3825147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE13c442.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.454,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Gentle Mates68c433.92$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5940972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Gentle Mates68c347.3$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1461654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Gentle Mates69c345.02$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9665254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Gentle Mates71c339.5$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.465455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed Gentle Mates79c337.43$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8710437.5%39 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed KOLESIE31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates79c318.67$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.065,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed KOLESIE31c311.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3419052.6%100 W · 90 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Gentle Mates70c299.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.492145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates74c289.68$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.172,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates68c289.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.541,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE32c272.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.823,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE30c270$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed KOLESIE24c268.19$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed KOLESIE25c264.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3437440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed KOLESIE31c260.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8134750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed Gentle Mates71c251.41$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.912755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Gentle Mates71c246.48$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4844675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Gentle Mates68c227.94$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9454743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed KOLESIE29c209.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.538143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed KOLESIE31c204.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5550456.5%285 W · 219 L+17.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4099…b04abacked KOLESIE5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+97.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9092…0771backed Gentle Mates69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE15c199.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Gentle Mates70c189.38$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Gentle Mates77c188.6$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.791,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed KOLESIE31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5364046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed KOLESIE31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE42c164$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.321,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Gentle Mates69c163.37$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6414544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Gentle Mates69c161.61$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.15056%28 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…cee3backed KOLESIE13c160$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed KOLESIE32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505044%22 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked KOLESIE13c155.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates76c152.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.844,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked KOLESIE28c151.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Gentle Mates69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Gentle Mates69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9340455.4%224 W · 180 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Gentle Mates69c144.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1448562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Gentle Mates70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8635466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Gentle Mates73c137.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4430062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.