CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba373810423782eb39a1512610c16fe690d5e09ad2940387b4eb82613b5023c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 3,272$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.45 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 1,654$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.35 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 1,274$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.8 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 736.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.05 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed KOLESIE | 60c | 680.45$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 438.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.55 | 353 | 40.2%142 W · 211 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 61c | 407.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.92 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 922 | 45.8%422 W · 500 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 276$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 275$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE | 12c | 193.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed KOLESIE | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 2,071 | 54%1,119 W · 952 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 194 | 46.9%91 W · 103 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 157.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed KOLESIE | 58c | 129.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 109$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 251 | 40.2%101 W · 150 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 101.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 3,274 | 51.3%1,678 W · 1,596 L | +91.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed KOLESIE | 58c | 96.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 70.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed KOLESIE | 56c | 66.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked KOLESIE | 67c | 42.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed KOLESIE | 56c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 35.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked KOLESIE | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed KOLESIE | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed KOLESIE | 58c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed KOLESIE | 55c | 26.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked KOLESIE | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KOLESIE | 58c | 25.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked KOLESIE | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed KOLESIE | 50c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,406 | 66.4%933 W · 473 L | +77.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5)KOLESIE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.