Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to score first vs. Uruguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3aa39ef5f18428c04d0649a6cfd55b0452686d3c1eb781bee2712947f87b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 35c | 22,896$7,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,993.77 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.01 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 66c | 6,121$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 5,402$3,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Yes | 66c | 4,279$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 35c | 4,074$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.78 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,450$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 2,137$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.88 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 34c | 2,030$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Yes | 65c | 1,845$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.75 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 1,811$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 33c | 1,414$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.31 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffda…c1fcbacked Yes | 65c | 1,145$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.75 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Yes | 65c | 1,116$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 35c | 1,017$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…7c8fbacked Yes | 65c | 839$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 825$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 806.69$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 35c | 806.04$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 66c | 511.43$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Yes | 69c | 465$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 33c | 317.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 66c | 314.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 66c | 307.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 34c | 292$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 7c | 247.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 63c | 222$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5c13backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 35c | 126$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…51b4backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…e3e3backed No | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 34c | 91.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…6562backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfa…dcdebacked Yes | 66c | 75.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes | 66c | 74.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1531…5810backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…cb5bbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 66c | 66.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7351backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…d370backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…9063backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…00fdbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 34c | 50.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 33c | 50.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 67c | 50.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 30c | 46.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…ae6abacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…50b3backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…137ebacked Yes | 68c | 41.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 33c | 40.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 33c | 40.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 33c | 40.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 33c | 40.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…1a0cbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…a582backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…2d04backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…6230backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…3c91backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…212fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…9cd9backed Yes | 65c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…e001backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…5219backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb471…f7c4backed Yes | 66c | 16.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bee…8e6ebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to score first vs. Uruguay?this page
- Uruguay to score first vs. Spain?No won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.