Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e58108be4b313e57d5bee66b639a2e0e0a50b0e3d1f1c2ee8978122841729d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp Blue | 68c | 1,932$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.21 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked PCIFIC | 30c | 1,684$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed PCIFIC | 32c | 1,672$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.08 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 70c | 907$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 699.99$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 402.6$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 70c | 248.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed PCIFIC | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 76c | 182.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed PCIFIC | 29c | 138.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Karmine Corp Blue | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked PCIFIC | 31c | 72.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 66c | 71.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed PCIFIC | 32c | 61.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PCIFIC | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.