TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes54c18,620$10,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,565.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Yes54c16,107$8,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,437.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c7,503$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.892,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c4,302$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.072,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c3,151$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.254,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Yes79c3,008$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c1,781$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c1,718$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No23c1,652$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c1,578$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c1,522$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2959247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes53c1,462$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.3219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No46c1,028$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4731,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4607959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c730.78$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.777851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes53c720.75$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7511146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29917062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No46c650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29914459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No46c630.24$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9113155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No33c611.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.111430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes50c595.33$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.841,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No50c568.98$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.781,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Yes51c496.06$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.062065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes71c462.44$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.444037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c422.57$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18414354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18412757.5%73 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18413855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6210246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes48c367$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8454128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c330$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.157150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes73c313.7$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14117959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14118156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14116858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.91,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No50c259.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513858.7%81 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No46c240$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.210252%53 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c237.53$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No47c226.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8340655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c226$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.441,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No22c214.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No52c211.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.235335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No46c199.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.564447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes73c184.91$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.122548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910558.1%61 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes52c141.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.513850%19 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03aa…0312backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed No47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382552%13 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c110.5$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No20c108.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.797327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No45c104.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0736545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bfe…bfb7backed No47c102.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.962445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9913651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No30c97.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes52c91.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.095745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No47c84.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.683951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c78.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4914553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes50c78.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4917153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes76c78.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5374644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed No21c77.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610136.6%37 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1744…b131backed Yes52c77.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes73c68.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No47c68.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes46c64.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.814535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3141040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No47c60.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.282556%14 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+142%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.767844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2111248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No45c54.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9817745.2%80 W · 97 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes49c50.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.517047.6%81 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No46c45.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3175850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fa…3b36backed No47c44.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2427948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No35c41.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7218961.9%117 W · 72 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No47c40.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed No45c40.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.14429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes62c39.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2113256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7421043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9229250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.