Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272fe6883ec135636cc6ac7cb7183f84640fe4223137cc2f8e6da7a157f65218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 5,699$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 3,560$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.62 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 2,929$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.03 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 53c | 2,072$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.02 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.41 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,409$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.26 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 1,038$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.97 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 47c | 762.36$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 53c | 708.51$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 54c | 553.52$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 47c | 519.15$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 19c | 189.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed No | 52c | 189.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…6a2cbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 151.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 141.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 74c | 134.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 47c | 130.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 53c | 128.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 52c | 121.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 110.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…c49fbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 54c | 99.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 46c | 79.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 52c | 76.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 71.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 53c | 53.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 42.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 65c | 38.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 54c | 33.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 48c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 28.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 23.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…82bcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.