Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273d5e776192a9854275f831d9118bf6f01a373d7b3aca95d234e4992c775c84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 25c | 2,235$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.78 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,392$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.54 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 1,305$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 2,068 | 36.7%758 W · 1,310 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 805.48$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 781.31$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 19c | 533.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 75c | 333.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 32c | 299.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 77c | 294$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.17 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 219.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 376 | 39.6%149 W · 227 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 72c | 171.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 27c | 138.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 138$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 957 | 44%421 W · 536 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 12c | 104$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 76.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2,132 | 47.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 25c | 63.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 32c | 62.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 73c | 45.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 80c | 42.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 73c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 76c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 79c | 14.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1,001 | 53.3%534 W · 467 L | +23.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 76c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.