La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a52415bb56e0f4f1b76ed75bd75aa79cc688bb1d0e1d514f3df1f3b9297d3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 2c | 5,485$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.83 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 1,445$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.03 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 16c | 1,280$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 901.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 800.69$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.28 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 791.74$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.52 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 43c | 579.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 21c | 548.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 350.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed No | 40c | 201$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 57c | 199.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 51c | 179.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 171.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 74c | 138.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 137.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 57c | 128.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 117.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 24c | 115.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 30c | 105.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 101.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 31c | 96.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…7f6cbacked No | 53c | 76.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 25c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 73.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 45.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 41c | 36.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…b6f6backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 68c | 14.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.