Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe62de2ee4fb5e4ba9678fbc054443f9ed6c21030d320454c902c78e34da4056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 50c | 764$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 759$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 49c | 490$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 415.64$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 299.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 53c | 287.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 247.39$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 72c | 234.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 204.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 50c | 204.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 197.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 174.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 50c | 168.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 141.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 32c | 121.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 51c | 119.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 100.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 87.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 87.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 53c | 57.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 48.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 50c | 36.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.