Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03f0f5302ec2fcc014b011b08c753753bac857bfabbecb2cf71e9191eebe5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 60c | 2,122$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 71c | 1,611$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.45 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 40c | 1,169$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 841.58$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.74 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 694.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked No | 40c | 650$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 60c | 553.5$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 31c | 386.53$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 309.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.75 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 21c | 299$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 259.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 177.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 153.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 11c | 145.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 42c | 115.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 97.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 78.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 78c | 59.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 59c | 55.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 54.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 58c | 53.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 29c | 52.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 32.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 58c | 32.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 59c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.