TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes42c50,000$21,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,049.9611445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No36c17,337$6,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,095.8443532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c10,560$8,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.6749143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c6,594$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.141,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c4,349$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.542,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No66c3,925$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.0648658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No59c3,611$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.334264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes32c3,035$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.596762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes42c2,427$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.7411142.3%47 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No72c2,382$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.993351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No70c2,378$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.549354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes59c1,964$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.725276.9%40 W · 12 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes59c1,949$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.725358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes60c1,510$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.055457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6754734%16 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Yes42c1,309$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.833363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c1,072$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.2255058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64038646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No67c958.09$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.59850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+187.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.336665.2%43 W · 23 L+12.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No66c814.71$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2773650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No55c812.72$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.126761.2%41 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c777.61$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No36c762.26$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.410026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes73c756.05$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked No66c729.88$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.57650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No68c728$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6910549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c698.76$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.2156951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No22c655$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.82268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes79c571.14$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8326445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes64c567.54$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2155349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No59c457.3$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.634257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No55c446.59$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.975964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c438.84$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.421,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No36c420.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1633047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c415.07$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5544655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No77c400.3$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.023046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes64c381.25$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2449043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c365.49$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.740744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No35c349.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1842046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes61c287$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.071637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes59c275.44$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.516264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No35c245$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.253935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No41c226.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8112460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No36c207.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.149647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No21c200$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.174949%24 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Yes21c160$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c158.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0948146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes66c152.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No24c147.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked No67c132.84$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes58c129.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1211762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No36c128.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.175846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes67c127.76$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.456564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No35c119.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9916343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes68c117.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c110.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.839857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes66c110$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes42c107.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…344fbacked No18c105.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c102.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4862452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed No18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5919458.2%113 W · 81 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked No21c97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.631050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No32c84.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.493357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff08…79fabacked Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No35c74.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.816937.7%26 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes35c71.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6628822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202917.2%5 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed No58c64.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No27c62.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.243164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.420251%103 W · 99 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No55c58.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.545648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No41c56.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1916464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No21c56.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.396046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No36c54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5622245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No41c53.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6464043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No52c48.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.336850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes60c48.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes41c47.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6111741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes31c46.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Yes57c43.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed No41c40.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1416056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3d…235fbacked Yes66c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ae…02ffbacked No62c39.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.98887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+64.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No33c38.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6318353%97 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bab…36a2backed No41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed No37c33.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No37c33.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.171020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed No67c32.96$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.983956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No42c31.83$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3953140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…e00fbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.