TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf975…4354backed No35c10,000$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,490.242152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes60c3,708$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.2392043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes66c3,634$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.0851842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed No40c2,466$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No37c2,171$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.672,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No59c2,136$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.3119165.4%125 W · 66 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No35c2,125$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.672,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes41c1,581$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.865932.2%19 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes48c1,399$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c1,086$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.882,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No41c1,066$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.487,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8314945.6%68 W · 81 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3318344.3%81 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30018343.7%80 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes78c613.39$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No53c605.64$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.997338.4%28 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes77c562.01$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.261968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb416…4588backed Yes78c536.13$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.954100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No40c505$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.451,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes61c498$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.031,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes72c488.04$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes60c449.25$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.723649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No53c424.9$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.291148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes62c393.55$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5526549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c359.68$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.025,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked No24c355$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.67635.5%27 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No60c305.21$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.794264.3%27 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+283.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes37c281.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.457832.1%25 W · 53 L+12.8wins+0.16per pick16cpaid+246%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes61c261$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7911657.8%67 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes61c257$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.233138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes61c218.45$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.254650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c208$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.21,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…3c44backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No39c194.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.741,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes57c183.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.821,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes61c169.24$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611755.6%65 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9314468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf7…6403backed Yes61c163.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No29c159$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.114143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes62c158.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2520572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c158$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8215371.9%110 W · 43 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes61c156.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1785250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No38c153$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.921,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes62c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7516248.1%78 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes67c148.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.629260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No42c142.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0467348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No19c126.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3758320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe378…148ebacked Yes80c124.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes76c114.47$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed No23c105$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-85.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721473.4%157 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.745431.5%17 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8395…516cbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-76.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes60c87.39$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.961,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…c49fbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes61c79.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.987353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes77c76.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3794043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes61c75.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3834139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed No76c72.46$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No29c71.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7217149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Yes47c65.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.578556.5%48 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed Yes61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No32c54.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4838147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes66c44.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1698653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed No36c39.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No55c35.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.567162%44 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No51c34.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3923347.2%110 W · 123 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed Yes71c31.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.041450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.113528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes61c29.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked No54c25.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No68c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.594551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed No67c22.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.744254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.