Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed3d35b68eb5d657f9942257deeb5111d8e5746a8ec15203a6f1294a3d95ea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 30c | 1,656$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.09 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,532$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 1,082$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.74 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 740.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 456.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 361.73$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 31c | 277.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 29c | 263.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 28c | 211$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 72c | 177.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 161.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 56c | 148.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 70c | 146.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 31c | 132.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 103.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 102.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 30c | 101.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 67.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 67.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…f462backed Yes | 31c | 48.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 38c | 43.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 35.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 48c | 34.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 31.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked No | 73c | 22.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.