Premier League · resolved market
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf81adf6a8a09c02ee422566f1e4dad283fec0b7e3e90eec450e90debb719629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,861$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 343.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 73c | 200.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 199.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 197$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 175.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 104.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 41c | 96.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 66c | 91.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 26c | 89.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 68c | 89.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 23c | 85.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 79.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 55.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 43.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 43.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…1ed3backed Yes | 36c | 34.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 30.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 29.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.