Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf48d2113ce8760e3e3fa6d37ddef9eedaa9c6d7a2245a33e1a80792830057d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 53c | 7,101$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.64 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 5,596$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 1,275$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 73c | 1,143$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.95 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 28c | 1,111$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 7c | 988.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 55c | 599.96$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 399$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 70c | 328.11$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 4c | 248.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 225.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 46c | 192.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 12c | 174.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 45c | 161.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 140.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 19c | 140.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 121$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 65.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 45c | 52.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 50.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 49.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 45c | 45.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 80c | 43.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 51c | 40.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 58c | 39.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 33.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 31.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 24.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 57c | 22.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.