Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9414eb3ca63d6248e492214cad36ec464f5ceec8f2ef72fe6703286082935d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 37c | 9,002$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.93 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 53c | 4,380$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.95 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 1,348$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 964.69$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 52c | 734.62$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.62 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 309.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.35 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 305.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 59c | 301$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 40c | 294.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.51 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 41c | 273.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 47c | 259.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 238.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 66c | 92.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 58c | 91.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 85.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 51c | 71.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed No | 33c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 63.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 39c | 57.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 64c | 55.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 52.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 52.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 45c | 51.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 50.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 46.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 46.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Yes | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 41.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 66c | 36.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.