Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf73cbb7550f9c2dad0b28781e4490d2936bc3cbe5462b30fc7589ddfbfcd58c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked No | 5c | 15,725$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 7,252$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.99 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 36c | 4,505$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 3,251$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.97 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 1,635$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.72 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 64c | 1,450$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 1,427$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.17 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 11c | 1,394$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 16c | 1,088$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 69c | 729.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 470.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 16c | 413.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 65c | 401.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 65c | 265.43$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 11c | 260.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 14c | 244$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 34c | 224.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 16c | 196.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 12c | 189.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed Yes | 65c | 189.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 34c | 188.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 32c | 178.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 170.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 10c | 167.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 67c | 157.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 13c | 149.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 34c | 143$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed No | 35c | 141.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 34c | 132$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 13c | 125.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed No | 16c | 107.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 66c | 106.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 68c | 99.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 67c | 97.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 33c | 91.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked No | 19c | 89.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 64c | 89.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 36c | 82.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 14c | 80.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…1ba2backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Yes | 67c | 65.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd98…85cebacked No | 24c | 63.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed Yes | 66c | 53.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 65c | 52.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 50.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed Yes | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af0…a4d3backed Yes | 66c | 45.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31d…a5a3backed Yes | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 67c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…ed51backed Yes | 79c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 66c | 18.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…7916backed Yes | 68c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 67c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.