Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ESB (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x953faebae80c6d03b8705f8fe3503c4b025a343116db077abddc9403736522dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eSubaof eSuba, Priority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed eSuba | 77c | 22,995$17,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,366.9 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Priority | 23c | 7,859$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Priority | 23c | 7,251$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.61 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Priority | 23c | 3,815$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.82 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked eSuba | 77c | 3,662$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.32 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Priority | 24c | 2,824$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.43 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Priority | 26c | 1,460$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Priority | 23c | 983.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Priority | 23c | 482.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Priority | 23c | 420$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed eSuba | 75c | 376.62$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Priority | 23c | 350.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Priority | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Priority | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Priority | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Priority | 25c | 200.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…22b8backed Priority | 26c | 186.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Priority | 23c | 181.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Priority | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Priority | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Priority | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Priority | 23c | 70.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed eSuba | 79c | 67.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Priority | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed eSuba | 63c | 33.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked eSuba | 75c | 26.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed eSuba | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ESB (-2.5) vs Priority (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: ESB (-1.5) vs Priority (+1.5)eSuba won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: eSuba vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffseSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs Priority - Game 1 WinnereSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs Priority - Game 2 WinnereSuba won
- LoL: eSuba vs Priority - Game 3 WinnereSuba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.