Lol · resolved market
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4def18f3d3796745773ccba4a5951aa73bd919e7ab55c43db07b8194b53e106b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Deer Gamingof Deer Gaming, Lundqvist Lightside
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e8…58f0backed Lundqvist Lightside | 48c | 10,969$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Deer Gaming | 57c | 8,658$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.73 | 255 | 47.5%121 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Lundqvist Lightside | 42c | 6,553$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.49 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Deer Gaming | 52c | 2,306$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lundqvist Lightside | 47c | 2,016$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.89 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 1,604$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.77 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 1,482$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.57 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Lundqvist Lightside | 49c | 1,323$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.93 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 955.42$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Deer Gaming | 51c | 942.07$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.5 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Deer Gaming | 53c | 921$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.07 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 710.58$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Deer Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 534.62$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lundqvist Lightside | 40c | 533.24$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Deer Gaming | 56c | 517$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.46 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lundqvist Lightside | 46c | 388.09$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.16 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Deer Gaming | 54c | 360.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Deer Gaming | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 326$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 311.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Lundqvist Lightside | 7c | 307.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Lundqvist Lightside | 8c | 279.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Deer Gaming | 50c | 266.61$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 307 | 42%129 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Deer Gaming | 63c | 242$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lundqvist Lightside | 45c | 239.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Deer Gaming | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Deer Gaming | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Deer Gaming | 59c | 190$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Lundqvist Lightside | 47c | 181.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Deer Gaming | 51c | 178.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Deer Gaming | 53c | 162.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lundqvist Lightside | 9c | 149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Deer Gaming | 54c | 146$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Deer Gaming | 57c | 126$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Deer Gaming | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Lundqvist Lightside | 65c | 76.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Deer Gaming | 54c | 74.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Deer Gaming | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 272 | 56.6%154 W · 118 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Lundqvist Lightside | 48c | 67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Lundqvist Lightside | 46c | 61.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Deer Gaming | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lundqvist Lightside | 68c | 57.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Deer Gaming | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 222 | 39.6%88 W · 134 L | -21.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f72…deadbacked Deer Gaming | 55c | 50.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Lundqvist Lightside | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Lundqvist Lightside | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Deer Gaming | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Lundqvist Lightside | 48c | 48.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Deer Gaming | 51c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lundqvist Lightside | 41c | 40.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked Deer Gaming | 54c | 39.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…c894backed Lundqvist Lightside | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Deer Gaming | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…c12fbacked Deer Gaming | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Deer Gaming | 51c | 25.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…19b0backed Lundqvist Lightside | 51c | 24.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Deer Gaming | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.