CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2d10d67302deca3101e718f612435b766a29cf38c0a9b096bbd38601cf6e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Galorys, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Imperial | 68c | 2,316$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.31 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Imperial | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Galorys | 34c | 883.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Galorys | 31c | 879.68$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Galorys | 34c | 721.07$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.78 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 34c | 572.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galorys | 35c | 375$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Galorys | 33c | 268$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Galorys | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 63c | 160.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Imperial | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Galorys | 29c | 137.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Galorys | 31c | 105.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Imperial | 63c | 104.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Imperial | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Imperial | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Galorys | 32c | 97.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galorys | 34c | 96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galorys | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Galorys | 29c | 79.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Imperial | 69c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…c3eabacked Galorys | 31c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Imperial | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Galorys | 32c | 46.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Galorys | 33c | 38.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Imperial | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…5cb8backed Imperial | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 63cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.