Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b9e239e01105c1fa8e53bb3b9f24d43c14d908f0beb1395fff06caed1606deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a3…fa3cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,040$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe138…6aa4backed Yes | 0c | 11,220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…667abacked Yes | 2c | 7,499$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…ce09backed Yes | 35c | 2,763$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…7f07backed Yes | 27c | 2,627$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…a46fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,595$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…0218backed Yes | 36c | 2,590$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…7f32backed Yes | 2c | 2,124$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…10c2backed No | 64c | 1,342$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb2…df61backed No | 73c | 1,327$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…60dfbacked No | 64c | 1,324$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621b…bc4dbacked No | 73c | 1,300$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…f50dbacked No | 64c | 1,266$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…8c88backed No | 64c | 1,253$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 22c | 1,003$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 28c | 918.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 23c | 563.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 521.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 31c | 509.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb5…7bf7backed Yes | 18c | 506$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…eea3backed No | 79c | 503.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 75c | 502.16$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 26c | 445.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 418.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 27c | 405.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 30c | 387.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 25c | 370.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…63e0backed Yes | 26c | 338.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 327.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 36c | 317$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 75c | 310.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 305$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 69c | 298.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 285.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…3179backed Yes | 35c | 277.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 21c | 266.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 22c | 245.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 243.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 19c | 237.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 235.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…5892backed Yes | 23c | 229.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 22c | 226.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed No | 76c | 223.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…4406backed Yes | 22c | 220.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 27c | 218.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 26c | 214.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 73c | 208.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 21c | 196.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 195.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 183.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 25c | 176.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 17c | 175.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 32c | 173$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 22c | 163.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 75c | 163.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 32c | 157.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 78c | 150.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ca…b3cdbacked Yes | 33c | 149.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…f630backed Yes | 18c | 144.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 25c | 144.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3159…5f35backed Yes | 22c | 139$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 18c | 138.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…ce76backed Yes | 28c | 135.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 20c | 133.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 32c | 132.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…1103backed Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 73c | 127.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 68c | 124.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 79c | 120.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 28c | 120.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 41c | 114.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…101fbacked Yes | 27c | 113.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…2ae5backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 19c | 108$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 34c | 105.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 21c | 102$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 26c | 100.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…3489backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…91b2backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…6ca1backed Yes | 18c | 98.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 23c | 95.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 79c | 94.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 93.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 52c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 23c | 87.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…baa6backed Yes | 24c | 86.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…dbb1backed Yes | 46c | 86.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…bb29backed Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…4245backed Yes | 31c | 81.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…77e5backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on March 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.