TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sion: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Raphael Perot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dominic Stephan Strickerof Dominic Stephan Stricker, Raphael Perot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55b9…a814backed Raphael Perot6c3,275$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4936946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Raphael Perot18c2,674$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Raphael Perot13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raphael Perot12c421.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.938,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Raphael Perot15c407.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.566,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dominic Stephan Stricker78c350.22$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.564,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Raphael Perot7c330$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Raphael Perot19c306.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1610234.3%35 W · 67 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Raphael Perot16c294$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0453644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Raphael Perot33c257.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Raphael Perot13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Dominic Stephan Stricker73c220.53$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4848947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Raphael Perot17c215.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.721,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Raphael Perot19c202.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4711539.1%45 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Dominic Stephan Stricker68c199.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Dominic Stephan Stricker72c197$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.161,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker66c173.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.214,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Raphael Perot12c156.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3544729.3%131 W · 316 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Raphael Perot32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raphael Perot16c156.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.222,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Dominic Stephan Stricker68c147.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5747058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Raphael Perot32c125.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Raphael Perot32c117.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.757,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Raphael Perot26c116.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raphael Perot37c110.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.369,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Raphael Perot32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211244.6%50 W · 62 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Raphael Perot34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3493945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…ec45backed Dominic Stephan Stricker68c98.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.534369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker68c92.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.763,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2471…4523backed Raphael Perot15c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedc…d4c0backed Dominic Stephan Stricker66c77.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4614870.3%104 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Raphael Perot34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512742.5%54 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker68c73.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.052,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker74c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Raphael Perot34c56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.042,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Dominic Stephan Stricker68c55.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8485250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker68c54.49$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4930268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Raphael Perot32c47.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Dominic Stephan Stricker76c43.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2554141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Dominic Stephan Stricker67c30.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0920570.7%145 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker70c29.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7339157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Dominic Stephan Stricker66c22.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6911247.3%53 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Dominic Stephan Stricker68c20.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7319041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Dominic Stephan Stricker66c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1228164.4%181 W · 100 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Dominic Stephan Stricker68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1697852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Dominic Stephan Stricker74c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6936557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.